Hello, everyone. Dan Schneier (@DanSchneierNFL) here. We're moving onward into Week 11 of what has been an interesting Fantasy Football season to say the least. There will be tough lineup decisions and some of you have already made difficult trades aimed to help your team now at the expense of your team's future. But we always want to be both forward-looking and in the present here with our advice, so we'll focus on helping you get right moving forward. Today will be all about which players are going to break out at every position moving forward over the rest of the 2021 season.
Every week I will get together the Fantasy Football Today crew to provide responses to a panel of questions that could help you win your week and ultimately (hopefully) your league. This week we'll dive into early-season breakouts due to regress, vice versa, bench stashes and more. Without further ado, let's dive right in:
1. Who is the QB you're trading for now with an easy Fantasy playoffs schedule?
Adam: Kyler Murray will get the Lions, Colts and Cowboys in the Fantasy playoffs. Obviously you have to pay up for Murray, but it might be worth it. And if Murray doesn't play this week, his manager may be desperate for a Week 11 QB and you could theoretically get Murray on the cheap.
Dave: Kyler Murray should be fairly discounted given the issues with his ankle and his receiving corps. If the guy who has Murray has stumbled to a 5-5 (or worse) record, making him an offer for Murray might just salvage his playoff chances while helping your championship dreams. Murray and the Cardinals play the Lions, Colts and Cowboys in Weeks 15-17.
Jamey: If I can get Dak Prescott, I would love it. His playoff schedule is Washington twice and the Giants once from Weeks 14-16. That's incredible.
Chris: Jalen Hurts, with Washington, the Giants, and then Washington again in Weeks 15-17. The transition to being a more run-heavy offense has limited Hurts' value of late, as he's averaging just 17.4 Fantasy points per game over the past three. So, you might think a great playoff schedule doesn't matter for him. The pass volume won't be there, right? I think that kind of misses the point. Sure, Hurts may only average 25 pass attempts in those three games, but he'll be doing so against defenses that have struggled to slow most offenses down, which means he'll have a higher chance of throwing for touchdowns and rushing for touchdowns. And it's the latter where we should expect some regression for him; he has no rushing touchdowns over the past three games on 31 attempts, after having five on 66 attempts in his first seven games. I think he closes out the season strong.
Heath: I'm trying to go get Kyler Murray, especially if his Fantasy manager is around .500 and I have a better record. It's partially about his playoff schedule, which is Fantastic, but more about the fact that his manager may need to go two more weeks without him.
2. Who is the RB you're trading for now with an easy Fantasy playoffs schedule?
Adam: A couple of young RBs stand out here with D'Andre Swift being a buy high and Javonte Williams a buy low. Swift gets the Falcons and Seahawks in Weeks 16 and 17, respectively. Not only do those teams give up a lot of Fantasy points to RBs, they also give up a lot of receiving yards to RBs (the Seahawks allow the most in the league). The favorable schedule for Williams actually begins in Week 12 with the Chargers and continues with the Chiefs, Lions, Bengals (not so easy), Raiders and Chargers. He may have the most favorable RB schedule going forward.
Dave: One of the reasons why James Robinson still carries a high number on the Trade Values Chart is because of his late-season schedule. Another reason is because he's a damn good running back who should maintain a heavy-use role for the remainder of the year. You will have to spend a lot to get Robinson, but he should be worth it. Robinson and the Jags play the Texans, Jets and Patriots in Weeks 15-17.
Jamey: James Robinson, if he can stay healthy since he's battling heel and knee injuries prior to Week 11, has two dream matchups against Houston in Week 15 and the Jets in Week 16. He could be amazing in those two matchups.
Chris: I'll go with James Robinson, who can probably be had pretty cheap right now given his injury concerns. He's got the Rams and 49ers in two of his next three games, but then he gets the Texans and Jets in Weeks 15 and 16, and he should be excellent in those matchups. The Patriots represent a tough Week 17, but when it comes to playoff matchups, the championship game should be your least concern, because it only matters if you get there. Robinson can help you get there.
Heath: It's a similar situation, but I would really like to get Miles Sanders. The Eagles are fully committed to running the ball and Sanders is far more talented than Boston Scott and Jordan Howard. Their schedule is a mixed bag in terms of run defenses, but it's a bunch of terrible offenses, which should keep them in run-heavy scripts.
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3. Who is the WR you're trading for now with an easy Fantasy playoffs schedule?
Adam: DeAndre Hopkins has a great playoff schedule and his injury could make him a great buy low. If you want to be a little riskier, DeVonta Smith gets Washington twice and the Giants in the Fantasy playoffs. As long as the Eagles don't run the ball all over those teams, that could be a great setup for Smith.
Dave: The rationale for trading for Hopkins is right above with Murray, so I don't need to expand much more. If your trade deadline isn't for a week, have your sights set on DeVonta Smith but don't accept a deal just yet. Hope for him to have a lame game in Week 11, then pounce. He plays Washington twice and Dallas once in Weeks 15-17.
Jamey: The Eagles have a bye in Week 14, but DeVonta Smith gets Washington twice and the Giants once from Weeks 15-17. That would also be good for Jalen Hurts as well for a quarterback to acquire via trade.
Chris: I like the idea of trading for Chase Claypool now, with the hopes that his toe injury will be in the rearview mirror by the time the playoffs start. People might be considering dropping him right now, even, so you could get him for pretty cheap. We haven't seen the breakout game we were hoping for from him yet, but with the Titans and Chiefs on the schedule in Weeks 15 and 16, there will certainly be a chance for him to break out. He's got big upside.
Heath: Is it cheating if I say I want to pair DeAndre Hopkins with Kyler Murray? Because I want to pair Hopkins with Murray for all the same reasons.
4. Who is the TE you're trading for now with an easy Fantasy playoffs schedule?
Adam: I'm not trading for Logan Thomas because he may not be good enough to matter, but his playoff schedule is amazing. He gets the Eagles twice and Dallas. The Eagles allow the most Fantasy points to tight ends while Dallas has been average at best. I could see Thomas having a big finish, but I wouldn't give up any starter for him. Hopefully you can add him as a free agent.
Dave: You might not need to make a trade at all. Whoever is Washington's tight end will take on the Eagles and their weak tight-end coverage unit TWICE. It figures to be Logan Thomas, who's available in half of CBS Sports leagues. If he's not on waivers, then it shouldn't take much to claw him off of someone else's roster.
Jamey: If Logan Thomas (hamstring) is healthy, and you can probably pick him up off waivers in some leagues, you should consider getting him. Washington faces Philadelphia twice from Weeks 15-17, and the Eagles allow the most Fantasy points to opposing tight ends. Washington also faces Dallas twice in the other two games.
Chris: I don't know how much you should worry about a tight end's strength of schedule, because it's not going to make a bad tight end into a reliable starter. However, Logan Thomas is a guy I'm definitely trying to acquire where I can. He closes out the season with the Cowboys and Eagles in his final four games, and while those aren't incredible matchups, they wouldn't be a reason to fade Thomas, who I'm expecting to be a top-10 tight end once he's healthy. He might just be on your waiver wire right now, in fact.
Heath: I don't worry too much about tight end schedules specifically, but Kyle Pits is the tight end who hasn't been awesome but I think could win you your league down the stretch. And his schedule isn't bad in Week 15 or Week 16, though the Bills in Week 17 is a bit scary.
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November 19, 2021 at 03:36AM
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